SR-UST-TR-0103 · Proposed, back-tested

Safe Rate 1-3 Year US Treasury Index

1 to 3 years.

Level
133.30
August 31, 2026
That month
+0.27%
Since inception
1.58%
a year, annualized
Holdings
96

These levels are back-tested. Every one was computed after the fact by applying the rules to historical data, which benefits from hindsight in the choice of rules and is not a record of trading. An index cannot be invested in directly. Methodology v1.0 takes effect at the September 30, 2026 rebalance.

Level since the base date

100105110115120125130135Sep 30, 2008Aug 31, 2026Sep 30, 2008Index level100.00Oct 31, 2008Index level100.82Nov 28, 2008Index level101.93Dec 31, 2008Index level102.63Jan 30, 2009Index level102.29Feb 27, 2009Index level102.11Mar 31, 2009Index level102.65Apr 30, 2009Index level102.52May 29, 2009Index level102.69Jun 30, 2009Index level102.59Jul 31, 2009Index level102.71Aug 31, 2009Index level103.12Sep 30, 2009Index level103.41Oct 30, 2009Index level103.57Nov 30, 2009Index level104.22Dec 31, 2009Index level103.41Jan 29, 2010Index level104.17Feb 26, 2010Index level104.41Mar 31, 2010Index level104.15Apr 30, 2010Index level104.47May 28, 2010Index level104.92Jun 30, 2010Index level105.42Jul 30, 2010Index level105.72Aug 31, 2010Index level105.91Sep 30, 2010Index level106.10Oct 29, 2010Index level106.35Nov 30, 2010Index level106.18Dec 31, 2010Index level105.95Jan 31, 2011Index level106.18Feb 28, 2011Index level106.00Mar 31, 2011Index level105.98Apr 29, 2011Index level106.45May 31, 2011Index level106.81Jun 30, 2011Index level106.82Jul 29, 2011Index level107.16Aug 31, 2011Index level107.54Sep 30, 2011Index level107.40Oct 31, 2011Index level107.50Nov 30, 2011Index level107.53Dec 30, 2011Index level107.61Jan 31, 2012Index level107.76Feb 29, 2012Index level107.60Mar 30, 2012Index level107.55Apr 30, 2012Index level107.76May 31, 2012Index level107.82Jun 29, 2012Index level107.74Jul 31, 2012Index level108.01Aug 31, 2012Index level108.01Sep 28, 2012Index level108.02Oct 31, 2012Index level107.95Nov 30, 2012Index level108.07Dec 31, 2012Index level108.11Jan 31, 2013Index level108.12Feb 28, 2013Index level108.20Mar 28, 2013Index level108.21Apr 30, 2013Index level108.33May 31, 2013Index level108.19Jun 28, 2013Index level108.09Jul 31, 2013Index level108.23Aug 30, 2013Index level108.20Sep 30, 2013Index level108.42Oct 31, 2013Index level108.53Nov 29, 2013Index level108.65Dec 31, 2013Index level108.50Jan 31, 2014Index level108.69Feb 28, 2014Index level108.76Mar 31, 2014Index level108.64Apr 30, 2014Index level108.80May 30, 2014Index level109.01Jun 30, 2014Index level108.95Jul 31, 2014Index level108.85Aug 29, 2014Index level109.05Sep 30, 2014Index level109.01Oct 31, 2014Index level109.30Nov 28, 2014Index level109.45Dec 31, 2014Index level109.20Jan 30, 2015Index level109.77Feb 27, 2015Index level109.52Mar 31, 2015Index level109.77Apr 30, 2015Index level109.78May 29, 2015Index level109.90Jun 30, 2015Index level109.95Jul 31, 2015Index level110.01Aug 31, 2015Index level109.98Sep 30, 2015Index level110.30Oct 30, 2015Index level110.19Nov 30, 2015Index level109.92Dec 31, 2015Index level109.84Jan 29, 2016Index level110.48Feb 29, 2016Index level110.56Mar 31, 2016Index level110.77Apr 29, 2016Index level110.84May 31, 2016Index level110.69Jun 30, 2016Index level111.39Jul 29, 2016Index level111.34Aug 31, 2016Index level111.17Sep 30, 2016Index level111.33Oct 31, 2016Index level111.20Nov 30, 2016Index level110.72Dec 30, 2016Index level110.79Jan 31, 2017Index level110.95Feb 28, 2017Index level111.10Mar 31, 2017Index level111.09Apr 28, 2017Index level111.24May 31, 2017Index level111.38Jun 30, 2017Index level111.34Jul 31, 2017Index level111.54Aug 31, 2017Index level111.75Sep 29, 2017Index level111.59Oct 31, 2017Index level111.49Nov 30, 2017Index level111.28Dec 29, 2017Index level111.25Jan 31, 2018Index level110.89Feb 28, 2018Index level110.83Mar 29, 2018Index level111.05Apr 30, 2018Index level110.89May 31, 2018Index level111.29Jun 29, 2018Index level111.32Jul 31, 2018Index level111.32Aug 31, 2018Index level111.69Sep 28, 2018Index level111.54Oct 31, 2018Index level111.70Nov 30, 2018Index level112.11Dec 31, 2018Index level112.97Jan 31, 2019Index level113.28Feb 28, 2019Index level113.40Mar 29, 2019Index level114.15Apr 30, 2019Index level114.38May 31, 2019Index level115.11Jun 28, 2019Index level115.81Jul 31, 2019Index level115.84Aug 30, 2019Index level116.62Sep 30, 2019Index level116.48Oct 31, 2019Index level116.86Nov 29, 2019Index level116.82Dec 31, 2019Index level117.09Jan 31, 2020Index level117.72Feb 28, 2020Index level118.75Mar 31, 2020Index level120.32Apr 30, 2020Index level120.51May 29, 2020Index level120.57Jun 30, 2020Index level120.63Jul 31, 2020Index level120.74Aug 31, 2020Index level120.72Sep 30, 2020Index level120.74Oct 30, 2020Index level120.70Nov 30, 2020Index level120.74Dec 31, 2020Index level120.81Jan 29, 2021Index level120.84Feb 26, 2021Index level120.68Mar 31, 2021Index level120.76Apr 30, 2021Index level120.81May 28, 2021Index level120.91Jun 30, 2021Index level120.71Jul 30, 2021Index level120.92Aug 31, 2021Index level120.90Sep 30, 2021Index level120.78Oct 29, 2021Index level120.35Nov 30, 2021Index level120.33Dec 31, 2021Index level120.09Jan 31, 2022Index level119.23Feb 28, 2022Index level118.75Mar 31, 2022Index level117.14Apr 29, 2022Index level116.54May 31, 2022Index level117.19Jun 30, 2022Index level116.45Jul 29, 2022Index level116.99Aug 31, 2022Index level116.12Sep 30, 2022Index level114.81Oct 31, 2022Index level114.55Nov 30, 2022Index level114.91Dec 30, 2022Index level115.52Jan 31, 2023Index level116.33Feb 28, 2023Index level115.51Mar 31, 2023Index level117.25Apr 28, 2023Index level117.69May 31, 2023Index level117.26Jun 30, 2023Index level116.70Jul 31, 2023Index level117.11Aug 31, 2023Index level117.50Sep 29, 2023Index level117.56Oct 31, 2023Index level117.96Nov 30, 2023Index level119.19Dec 29, 2023Index level120.51Jan 31, 2024Index level121.00Feb 29, 2024Index level120.48Mar 28, 2024Index level120.87Apr 30, 2024Index level120.51May 31, 2024Index level121.29Jun 28, 2024Index level122.04Jul 31, 2024Index level123.24Aug 30, 2024Index level124.62Sep 30, 2024Index level125.63Oct 31, 2024Index level124.73Nov 29, 2024Index level125.14Dec 31, 2024Index level125.47Jan 31, 2025Index level126.00Feb 28, 2025Index level126.87Mar 31, 2025Index level127.47Apr 30, 2025Index level128.47May 30, 2025Index level128.17Jun 30, 2025Index level128.97Jul 31, 2025Index level128.98Aug 29, 2025Index level130.04Sep 30, 2025Index level130.47Oct 31, 2025Index level130.92Nov 28, 2025Index level131.47Dec 31, 2025Index level131.96Jan 30, 2026Index level132.18Feb 27, 2026Index level132.86Mar 31, 2026Index level132.27Apr 30, 2026Index level132.54May 29, 2026Index level132.72Jun 30, 2026Index level132.81Jul 31, 2026Index level132.94Aug 31, 2026Index level133.30

215 monthly rebalances, chained from 100 at September 30, 2008. The y axis is an index level, not a rate. The base is the month-end before the first published level, so the first point after it already carries a month of return.

Total return

Cumulative and annualized total return over trailing periods to August 31, 2026.
PeriodCumulativeAnnualized
1 month+0.27%
3 months+0.43%
1 year+2.50%+2.50%
3 years+13.44%+4.29%
5 years+10.25%+1.97%
10 years+19.91%+1.83%
Since inception+32.21%1.58%

Periods under one year are not annualized, and the dash in that column is a refusal rather than a gap: restating one month as a yearly rate extrapolates a single month's movement across twelve, which overstates gains and losses alike.

Calendar year returns

Total return by calendar year since inception.
YearTotal return
20268 months+1.01%
2025+5.18%
2024+4.11%
2023+4.32%
2022-3.81%
2021-0.59%
2020+3.18%
2019+3.64%
2018+1.55%
2017+0.41%
2016+0.87%
2015+0.58%
2014+0.65%
2013+0.36%
2012+0.47%
2011+1.57%
2010+2.45%
2009+0.77%
20083 months+1.79%

Market value weighted, rebalanced monthly on the last trading day. Amount outstanding is what was auctioned, less par Treasury has bought back and retired, less what the Federal Reserve holds, a bond the Fed owns is outstanding but not investable, so deducting it is what makes the weights describe a portfolio somebody could actually hold. Levels are month-end figures, so this sits behind the daily prices elsewhere on this site by design.

Largest holdings

96 at the August 31, 2026 rebalance

The 5 heaviest, by weight. Each security's return is its own total return over the month; its contribution is that return times its weight, and every holding's contribution adds to the index return above.

The 5 heaviest holdings of 1-3 Year at the August 31, 2026 rebalance, with each one's weight, total return over the month and contribution to the index return.
CUSIPMaturityWeightReturnContribution
91282CGH83.500%Jan 31, 20282.17%0.279%0.0060%
91282CRB94.250%Jul 31, 20281.50%0.241%0.0036%
91282CKP54.625%Apr 30, 20291.40%0.204%0.0029%
91282CKX84.250%Jun 30, 20291.37%0.241%0.0033%
91282CKT74.500%May 31, 20291.36%0.229%0.0031%

Check this level yourself. Every holding is published each month with the three deductions that set its weight, both prices, and its contribution, and the contributions add to the return above. See the constituents.

Index levels before September 30, 2026 are back-tested. They were computed after the fact by applying the rules to historical data, which benefits from hindsight in the choice of rules, and an index cannot be invested in directly. Methodology v1.0 takes effect at that rebalance, when levels begin to be struck on the day; the rulebook is identical either way, and the version is published on every row.

A fitted curve is a fit, not a quote. Daily error averages 3.8 basis points across the history and reaches about 20 on the worst days, in December 2008, when the market was genuinely hard to fit one smooth curve to. Every curve page publishes its own fit error rather than burying it.

Safe Rate™, Safe Rate Indices™ and the Safe Rate US Treasury Index™ are trademarks of Safe Rate, claimed through use in commerce and not registered. Third-party marks are the property of their owners, which are not affiliated with and do not endorse this data.

Curves are fitted from public Treasury data and carry fit error; figures are not a record of trading, and an index cannot be invested in directly. No claim of compliance with the IOSCO Principles for Financial Benchmarks is made or implied. Not investment advice, not an offer, and not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.