SR-UST-TR-1020 · Proposed, back-tested

Safe Rate 10-20 Year US Treasury Index

10 to 20 years.

Level
151.28
August 31, 2026
That month
+0.85%
Since inception
2.60%
a year, annualized
Holdings
59

These levels are back-tested. Every one was computed after the fact by applying the rules to historical data, which benefits from hindsight in the choice of rules and is not a record of trading. An index cannot be invested in directly. Methodology v1.0 takes effect at the September 30, 2026 rebalance.

Level since the base date

75100125150175200225Sep 30, 2008Aug 31, 2026Sep 30, 2008Index level100.00Oct 31, 2008Index level95.69Nov 28, 2008Index level106.15Dec 31, 2008Index level115.01Jan 30, 2009Index level106.50Feb 27, 2009Index level105.78Mar 31, 2009Index level110.87Apr 30, 2009Index level106.01May 29, 2009Index level103.03Jun 30, 2009Index level104.36Jul 31, 2009Index level104.41Aug 31, 2009Index level106.33Sep 30, 2009Index level108.71Oct 30, 2009Index level107.26Nov 30, 2009Index level110.17Dec 31, 2009Index level104.39Jan 29, 2010Index level106.95Feb 26, 2010Index level107.52Mar 31, 2010Index level106.14Apr 30, 2010Index level108.48May 28, 2010Index level112.24Jun 30, 2010Index level116.22Jul 30, 2010Index level117.26Aug 31, 2010Index level123.51Sep 30, 2010Index level122.81Oct 29, 2010Index level120.91Nov 30, 2010Index level119.93Dec 31, 2010Index level114.58Jan 31, 2011Index level114.26Feb 28, 2011Index level114.50Mar 31, 2011Index level114.51Apr 29, 2011Index level116.54May 31, 2011Index level119.94Jun 30, 2011Index level118.07Jul 29, 2011Index level122.40Aug 31, 2011Index level131.99Sep 30, 2011Index level137.05Oct 31, 2011Index level133.78Nov 30, 2011Index level136.46Dec 30, 2011Index level139.86Jan 31, 2012Index level140.16Feb 29, 2012Index level138.61Mar 30, 2012Index level136.16Apr 30, 2012Index level139.82May 31, 2012Index level147.16Jun 29, 2012Index level145.52Jul 31, 2012Index level148.28Aug 31, 2012Index level146.93Sep 28, 2012Index level146.43Oct 31, 2012Index level145.48Nov 30, 2012Index level147.67Dec 31, 2012Index level145.90Jan 31, 2013Index level142.11Feb 28, 2013Index level143.91Mar 28, 2013Index level144.46Apr 30, 2013Index level148.17May 31, 2013Index level141.40Jun 28, 2013Index level137.32Jul 31, 2013Index level134.93Aug 30, 2013Index level135.07Sep 30, 2013Index level136.69Oct 31, 2013Index level137.91Nov 29, 2013Index level135.64Dec 31, 2013Index level133.34Jan 31, 2014Index level138.57Feb 28, 2014Index level139.04Mar 31, 2014Index level139.29Apr 30, 2014Index level141.03May 30, 2014Index level144.24Jun 30, 2014Index level143.80Jul 31, 2014Index level143.98Aug 29, 2014Index level147.90Sep 30, 2014Index level146.06Oct 31, 2014Index level148.28Nov 28, 2014Index level151.16Dec 31, 2014Index level152.73Jan 30, 2015Index level159.73Feb 27, 2015Index level155.38Mar 31, 2015Index level156.74Apr 30, 2015Index level154.54May 29, 2015Index level154.35Jun 30, 2015Index level151.71Jul 31, 2015Index level154.94Aug 31, 2015Index level154.67Sep 30, 2015Index level156.99Oct 30, 2015Index level155.66Nov 30, 2015Index level155.31Dec 31, 2015Index level154.92Jan 29, 2016Index level160.57Feb 29, 2016Index level163.16Mar 31, 2016Index level163.23Apr 29, 2016Index level162.68May 31, 2016Index level163.29Jun 30, 2016Index level170.55Jul 29, 2016Index level171.05Aug 31, 2016Index level169.50Sep 30, 2016Index level169.13Oct 31, 2016Index level165.20Nov 30, 2016Index level156.56Dec 30, 2016Index level156.21Jan 31, 2017Index level157.06Feb 28, 2017Index level158.83Mar 31, 2017Index level158.23Apr 28, 2017Index level160.16May 31, 2017Index level161.95Jun 30, 2017Index level161.90Jul 31, 2017Index level161.56Aug 31, 2017Index level165.02Sep 29, 2017Index level162.58Oct 31, 2017Index level162.36Nov 30, 2017Index level162.30Dec 29, 2017Index level163.02Jan 31, 2018Index level158.40Feb 28, 2018Index level155.95Mar 29, 2018Index level158.82Apr 30, 2018Index level156.45May 31, 2018Index level158.48Jun 29, 2018Index level158.93Jul 31, 2018Index level157.41Aug 31, 2018Index level159.79Sep 28, 2018Index level156.54Oct 31, 2018Index level154.72Nov 30, 2018Index level157.08Dec 31, 2018Index level163.13Jan 31, 2019Index level164.21Feb 28, 2019Index level163.16Mar 29, 2019Index level169.31Apr 30, 2019Index level167.53May 31, 2019Index level174.54Jun 28, 2019Index level177.60Jul 31, 2019Index level177.64Aug 30, 2019Index level189.57Sep 30, 2019Index level185.97Oct 31, 2019Index level185.69Nov 29, 2019Index level184.03Dec 31, 2019Index level181.22Jan 31, 2020Index level190.70Feb 28, 2020Index level200.12Mar 31, 2020Index level209.95Apr 30, 2020Index level213.95May 29, 2020Index level210.94Jun 30, 2020Index level212.37Jul 31, 2020Index level217.67Aug 31, 2020Index level210.35Sep 30, 2020Index level211.02Oct 30, 2020Index level206.04Nov 30, 2020Index level207.66Dec 31, 2020Index level205.31Jan 29, 2021Index level199.50Feb 26, 2021Index level185.68Mar 31, 2021Index level181.96Apr 30, 2021Index level184.94May 28, 2021Index level185.35Jun 30, 2021Index level191.45Jul 30, 2021Index level197.44Aug 31, 2021Index level196.90Sep 30, 2021Index level191.10Oct 29, 2021Index level192.83Nov 30, 2021Index level196.53Dec 31, 2021Index level194.35Jan 31, 2022Index level188.03Feb 28, 2022Index level184.66Mar 31, 2022Index level176.89Apr 29, 2022Index level163.54May 31, 2022Index level161.08Jun 30, 2022Index level159.25Jul 29, 2022Index level164.63Aug 31, 2022Index level157.37Sep 30, 2022Index level145.92Oct 31, 2022Index level139.07Nov 30, 2022Index level146.62Dec 30, 2022Index level145.74Jan 31, 2023Index level153.83Feb 28, 2023Index level146.77Mar 31, 2023Index level153.60Apr 28, 2023Index level155.18May 31, 2023Index level150.91Jun 30, 2023Index level150.46Jul 31, 2023Index level148.17Aug 31, 2023Index level145.11Sep 29, 2023Index level136.12Oct 31, 2023Index level131.40Nov 30, 2023Index level140.75Dec 29, 2023Index level151.72Jan 31, 2024Index level149.30Feb 29, 2024Index level145.92Mar 28, 2024Index level147.98Apr 30, 2024Index level140.36May 31, 2024Index level143.71Jun 28, 2024Index level147.01Jul 31, 2024Index level150.79Aug 30, 2024Index level155.02Sep 30, 2024Index level157.25Oct 31, 2024Index level148.64Nov 29, 2024Index level151.72Dec 31, 2024Index level145.11Jan 31, 2025Index level146.80Feb 28, 2025Index level152.30Mar 31, 2025Index level151.97Apr 30, 2025Index level151.38May 30, 2025Index level147.05Jun 30, 2025Index level150.00Jul 31, 2025Index level149.94Aug 29, 2025Index level150.39Sep 30, 2025Index level154.63Oct 31, 2025Index level156.27Nov 28, 2025Index level156.91Dec 31, 2025Index level155.32Jan 30, 2026Index level154.62Feb 27, 2026Index level160.26Mar 31, 2026Index level154.24Apr 30, 2026Index level153.87May 29, 2026Index level154.58Jun 30, 2026Index level156.52Jul 31, 2026Index level150.00Aug 31, 2026Index level151.28

215 monthly rebalances, chained from 100 at September 30, 2008. The y axis is an index level, not a rate. The base is the month-end before the first published level, so the first point after it already carries a month of return.

Total return

Cumulative and annualized total return over trailing periods to August 31, 2026.
PeriodCumulativeAnnualized
1 month+0.85%
3 months-2.13%
1 year+0.60%+0.60%
3 years+4.26%+1.40%
5 years-23.17%-5.13%
10 years-10.75%-1.13%
Since inception+58.09%2.60%

Periods under one year are not annualized, and the dash in that column is a refusal rather than a gap: restating one month as a yearly rate extrapolates a single month's movement across twelve, which overstates gains and losses alike.

Calendar year returns

Total return by calendar year since inception.
YearTotal return
20268 months-2.60%
2025+7.03%
2024-4.36%
2023+4.11%
2022-25.01%
2021-5.34%
2020+13.29%
2019+11.09%
2018+0.07%
2017+4.35%
2016+0.84%
2015+1.43%
2014+14.54%
2013-8.61%
2012+4.32%
2011+22.07%
2010+9.76%
2009-9.23%
20083 months+20.18%

Market value weighted, rebalanced monthly on the last trading day. Amount outstanding is what was auctioned, less par Treasury has bought back and retired, less what the Federal Reserve holds, a bond the Fed owns is outstanding but not investable, so deducting it is what makes the weights describe a portfolio somebody could actually hold. Levels are month-end figures, so this sits behind the daily prices elsewhere on this site by design.

Largest holdings

59 at the August 31, 2026 rebalance

The 5 heaviest, by weight. Each security's return is its own total return over the month; its contribution is that return times its weight, and every holding's contribution adds to the index return above.

The 5 heaviest holdings of 10-20 Year at the August 31, 2026 rebalance, with each one's weight, total return over the month and contribution to the index return.
CUSIPMaturityWeightReturnContribution
912810TA61.750%Aug 15, 20413.31%1.077%0.0356%
912810UL05.000%May 15, 20453.01%0.722%0.0217%
912810UV85.000%May 15, 20463.00%0.692%0.0208%
912810UN64.875%Aug 15, 20453.00%0.750%0.0225%
912810TC22.000%Nov 15, 20412.98%1.031%0.0307%

Check this level yourself. Every holding is published each month with the three deductions that set its weight, both prices, and its contribution, and the contributions add to the return above. See the constituents.

Index levels before September 30, 2026 are back-tested. They were computed after the fact by applying the rules to historical data, which benefits from hindsight in the choice of rules, and an index cannot be invested in directly. Methodology v1.0 takes effect at that rebalance, when levels begin to be struck on the day; the rulebook is identical either way, and the version is published on every row.

A fitted curve is a fit, not a quote. Daily error averages 3.8 basis points across the history and reaches about 20 on the worst days, in December 2008, when the market was genuinely hard to fit one smooth curve to. Every curve page publishes its own fit error rather than burying it.

Safe Rate™, Safe Rate Indices™ and the Safe Rate US Treasury Index™ are trademarks of Safe Rate, claimed through use in commerce and not registered. Third-party marks are the property of their owners, which are not affiliated with and do not endorse this data.

Curves are fitted from public Treasury data and carry fit error; figures are not a record of trading, and an index cannot be invested in directly. No claim of compliance with the IOSCO Principles for Financial Benchmarks is made or implied. Not investment advice, not an offer, and not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.