SR-UST-TR-0307 · Proposed, back-tested

Safe Rate 3-7 Year US Treasury Index

3 to 7 years.

Level
152.16
August 31, 2026
That month
+0.17%
Since inception
2.33%
a year, annualized
Holdings
90

These levels are back-tested. Every one was computed after the fact by applying the rules to historical data, which benefits from hindsight in the choice of rules and is not a record of trading. An index cannot be invested in directly. Methodology v1.0 takes effect at the September 30, 2026 rebalance.

Level since the base date

100110120130140150160Sep 30, 2008Aug 31, 2026Sep 30, 2008Index level100.00Oct 31, 2008Index level100.96Nov 28, 2008Index level105.08Dec 31, 2008Index level107.51Jan 30, 2009Index level105.78Feb 27, 2009Index level104.96Mar 31, 2009Index level106.95Apr 30, 2009Index level105.39May 29, 2009Index level104.41Jun 30, 2009Index level103.93Jul 31, 2009Index level104.32Aug 31, 2009Index level105.30Sep 30, 2009Index level106.19Oct 30, 2009Index level106.21Nov 30, 2009Index level108.24Dec 31, 2009Index level105.41Jan 29, 2010Index level107.17Feb 26, 2010Index level107.88Mar 31, 2010Index level107.00Apr 30, 2010Index level108.02May 28, 2010Index level109.72Jun 30, 2010Index level111.63Jul 30, 2010Index level112.94Aug 31, 2010Index level114.55Sep 30, 2010Index level115.07Oct 29, 2010Index level115.81Nov 30, 2010Index level115.05Dec 31, 2010Index level112.44Jan 31, 2011Index level113.31Feb 28, 2011Index level112.56Mar 31, 2011Index level112.52Apr 29, 2011Index level114.03May 31, 2011Index level115.82Jun 30, 2011Index level115.72Jul 29, 2011Index level117.89Aug 31, 2011Index level120.39Sep 30, 2011Index level120.51Oct 31, 2011Index level120.32Nov 30, 2011Index level120.82Dec 30, 2011Index level121.64Jan 31, 2012Index level122.53Feb 29, 2012Index level121.85Mar 30, 2012Index level121.32Apr 30, 2012Index level122.51May 31, 2012Index level123.62Jun 29, 2012Index level123.27Jul 31, 2012Index level124.22Aug 31, 2012Index level124.16Sep 28, 2012Index level124.38Oct 31, 2012Index level123.87Nov 30, 2012Index level124.59Dec 31, 2012Index level124.31Jan 31, 2013Index level123.66Feb 28, 2013Index level124.36Mar 28, 2013Index level124.57Apr 30, 2013Index level125.27May 31, 2013Index level123.50Jun 28, 2013Index level121.95Jul 31, 2013Index level121.89Aug 30, 2013Index level121.54Sep 30, 2013Index level122.70Oct 31, 2013Index level123.35Nov 29, 2013Index level123.43Dec 31, 2013Index level121.96Jan 31, 2014Index level123.45Feb 28, 2014Index level123.60Mar 31, 2014Index level122.78Apr 30, 2014Index level123.42May 30, 2014Index level124.64Jun 30, 2014Index level124.40Jul 31, 2014Index level123.86Aug 29, 2014Index level124.92Sep 30, 2014Index level124.36Oct 31, 2014Index level125.44Nov 28, 2014Index level126.35Dec 31, 2014Index level125.88Jan 30, 2015Index level128.74Feb 27, 2015Index level127.19Mar 31, 2015Index level128.12Apr 30, 2015Index level127.76May 29, 2015Index level128.01Jun 30, 2015Index level127.47Jul 31, 2015Index level128.16Aug 31, 2015Index level128.44Sep 30, 2015Index level129.55Oct 30, 2015Index level128.93Nov 30, 2015Index level128.49Dec 31, 2015Index level128.19Jan 29, 2016Index level130.86Feb 29, 2016Index level131.48Mar 31, 2016Index level131.75Apr 29, 2016Index level131.74May 31, 2016Index level131.43Jun 30, 2016Index level133.89Jul 29, 2016Index level133.87Aug 31, 2016Index level133.14Sep 30, 2016Index level133.59Oct 31, 2016Index level132.72Nov 30, 2016Index level129.82Dec 30, 2016Index level129.78Jan 31, 2017Index level130.27Feb 28, 2017Index level130.79Mar 31, 2017Index level130.67Apr 28, 2017Index level131.52May 31, 2017Index level132.20Jun 30, 2017Index level132.00Jul 31, 2017Index level132.35Aug 31, 2017Index level133.27Sep 29, 2017Index level132.39Oct 31, 2017Index level132.12Nov 30, 2017Index level131.71Dec 29, 2017Index level131.53Jan 31, 2018Index level129.93Feb 28, 2018Index level129.44Mar 29, 2018Index level130.28Apr 30, 2018Index level129.32May 31, 2018Index level130.26Jun 29, 2018Index level130.31Jul 31, 2018Index level130.00Aug 31, 2018Index level130.95Sep 28, 2018Index level130.05Oct 31, 2018Index level130.10Nov 30, 2018Index level131.18Dec 31, 2018Index level133.39Jan 31, 2019Index level134.11Feb 28, 2019Index level133.92Mar 29, 2019Index level136.00Apr 30, 2019Index level136.01May 31, 2019Index level138.12Jun 28, 2019Index level139.72Jul 31, 2019Index level139.64Aug 30, 2019Index level142.35Sep 30, 2019Index level141.54Oct 31, 2019Index level141.95Nov 29, 2019Index level141.46Dec 31, 2019Index level141.44Jan 31, 2020Index level143.85Feb 28, 2020Index level146.55Mar 31, 2020Index level150.32Apr 30, 2020Index level150.82May 29, 2020Index level151.02Jun 30, 2020Index level151.36Jul 31, 2020Index level151.88Aug 31, 2020Index level151.58Sep 30, 2020Index level151.68Oct 30, 2020Index level151.02Nov 30, 2020Index level151.25Dec 31, 2020Index level151.41Jan 29, 2021Index level151.01Feb 26, 2021Index level148.69Mar 31, 2021Index level148.27Apr 30, 2021Index level148.87May 28, 2021Index level149.49Jun 30, 2021Index level149.31Jul 30, 2021Index level150.75Aug 31, 2021Index level150.34Sep 30, 2021Index level149.00Oct 29, 2021Index level147.82Nov 30, 2021Index level148.12Dec 31, 2021Index level147.90Jan 31, 2022Index level145.60Feb 28, 2022Index level144.76Mar 31, 2022Index level140.63Apr 29, 2022Index level137.71May 31, 2022Index level138.58Jun 30, 2022Index level137.53Jul 29, 2022Index level140.09Aug 31, 2022Index level136.70Sep 30, 2022Index level132.85Oct 31, 2022Index level131.69Nov 30, 2022Index level133.43Dec 30, 2022Index level133.84Jan 31, 2023Index level136.52Feb 28, 2023Index level133.61Mar 31, 2023Index level137.16Apr 28, 2023Index level138.29May 31, 2023Index level137.10Jun 30, 2023Index level135.51Jul 31, 2023Index level135.62Aug 31, 2023Index level135.49Sep 29, 2023Index level134.03Oct 31, 2023Index level133.41Nov 30, 2023Index level136.82Dec 29, 2023Index level139.99Jan 31, 2024Index level140.33Feb 29, 2024Index level138.50Mar 28, 2024Index level139.18Apr 30, 2024Index level136.87May 31, 2024Index level138.44Jun 28, 2024Index level140.06Jul 31, 2024Index level142.45Aug 30, 2024Index level144.86Sep 30, 2024Index level146.26Oct 31, 2024Index level142.83Nov 29, 2024Index level143.81Dec 31, 2024Index level142.71Jan 31, 2025Index level143.61Feb 28, 2025Index level145.87Mar 31, 2025Index level146.76Apr 30, 2025Index level148.65May 30, 2025Index level147.57Jun 30, 2025Index level149.19Jul 31, 2025Index level148.96Aug 29, 2025Index level150.89Sep 30, 2025Index level151.35Oct 31, 2025Index level152.02Nov 28, 2025Index level153.10Dec 31, 2025Index level153.11Jan 30, 2026Index level152.92Feb 27, 2026Index level155.10Mar 31, 2026Index level152.86Apr 30, 2026Index level152.93May 29, 2026Index level152.84Jun 30, 2026Index level153.03Jul 31, 2026Index level151.91Aug 31, 2026Index level152.16

215 monthly rebalances, chained from 100 at September 30, 2008. The y axis is an index level, not a rate. The base is the month-end before the first published level, so the first point after it already carries a month of return.

Total return

Cumulative and annualized total return over trailing periods to August 31, 2026.
PeriodCumulativeAnnualized
1 month+0.17%
3 months-0.44%
1 year+0.84%+0.84%
3 years+12.30%+3.94%
5 years+1.21%+0.24%
10 years+14.29%+1.34%
Since inception+50.72%2.33%

Periods under one year are not annualized, and the dash in that column is a refusal rather than a gap: restating one month as a yearly rate extrapolates a single month's movement across twelve, which overstates gains and losses alike.

Calendar year returns

Total return by calendar year since inception.
YearTotal return
20268 months-0.62%
2025+7.29%
2024+1.94%
2023+4.59%
2022-9.51%
2021-2.31%
2020+7.05%
2019+6.03%
2018+1.41%
2017+1.35%
2016+1.24%
2015+1.83%
2014+3.22%
2013-1.89%
2012+2.20%
2011+8.18%
2010+6.67%
2009-1.96%
20083 months+6.49%

Market value weighted, rebalanced monthly on the last trading day. Amount outstanding is what was auctioned, less par Treasury has bought back and retired, less what the Federal Reserve holds, a bond the Fed owns is outstanding but not investable, so deducting it is what makes the weights describe a portfolio somebody could actually hold. Levels are month-end figures, so this sits behind the daily prices elsewhere on this site by design.

Largest holdings

90 at the August 31, 2026 rebalance

The 5 heaviest, by weight. Each security's return is its own total return over the month; its contribution is that return times its weight, and every holding's contribution adds to the index return above.

The 5 heaviest holdings of 3-7 Year at the August 31, 2026 rebalance, with each one's weight, total return over the month and contribution to the index return.
CUSIPMaturityWeightReturnContribution
91282CGQ84.000%Feb 28, 20302.12%0.190%0.0040%
91282CCS81.250%Aug 15, 20311.98%0.115%0.0023%
91282CFV84.125%Nov 15, 20321.98%0.171%0.0034%
91282CDJ71.375%Nov 15, 20311.93%0.090%0.0017%
91282CGM73.500%Feb 15, 20331.91%0.160%0.0031%

Check this level yourself. Every holding is published each month with the three deductions that set its weight, both prices, and its contribution, and the contributions add to the return above. See the constituents.

Index levels before September 30, 2026 are back-tested. They were computed after the fact by applying the rules to historical data, which benefits from hindsight in the choice of rules, and an index cannot be invested in directly. Methodology v1.0 takes effect at that rebalance, when levels begin to be struck on the day; the rulebook is identical either way, and the version is published on every row.

A fitted curve is a fit, not a quote. Daily error averages 3.8 basis points across the history and reaches about 20 on the worst days, in December 2008, when the market was genuinely hard to fit one smooth curve to. Every curve page publishes its own fit error rather than burying it.

Safe Rate™, Safe Rate Indices™ and the Safe Rate US Treasury Index™ are trademarks of Safe Rate, claimed through use in commerce and not registered. Third-party marks are the property of their owners, which are not affiliated with and do not endorse this data.

Curves are fitted from public Treasury data and carry fit error; figures are not a record of trading, and an index cannot be invested in directly. No claim of compliance with the IOSCO Principles for Financial Benchmarks is made or implied. Not investment advice, not an offer, and not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.